NMSS RI
Basic investing: where to start?
Where can you find information to try and predict the prices?
If you are going to make an investment you are going to have to be able to predict what prices are likely to do in the future. In order to do this you are going to have to have something to base those predictions on. This is why you need to be able to find the information that you need to make these predictions.
The first place that you are going to want to look for information when you are trying to predict prices is the prospectus that the company puts out. This will include all kinds of financial data that you can use to determine just how profitable the company is and is likely to be in the future. This information is readily available on the web so you should have no trouble finding it. Make sure that you learn how to read this information since some of it is very complicated.
The next things that you are going to want to look at is the charts that show you historical price movements. There are lots of these available which can show you the price over the last ten years or the last ten minutes. Different traders use different charts depending on the strategy you are using. You will be able to get a limited number of charts from your broker or other free online sources. However if you are serious about using charts to help you predict the future prices you are going to want to subscribe to a charting service. This will give you the best and most accurate information.
Another place that you are going to want to look for information when you are trying to predict prices is the economy as a whole. As things like interest rates change it has a dramatic impact on the price of a lot of things. In some cases this information could have a widespread affect or it could have an impact on only certain segments of the market. This is part of what makes it so hard to predict the future price since there are so many things that can affect it.
One thing that you have to keep in mind when you are trying to predict prices is that they may change for no reason. In large part prices are determined by what people expect will happen in the future, often these expectations are wrong. In other cases the actual news may have an opposite effect as expectations change. For example a company may announce the earnings that were expected and see the price of their stock decline. This is because the price of the stock had gone up in expectation and then went down when the news became official. Things like this happen all the time which is why you should never put too much faith in the prices that you predict.